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AS Dragon vs Waitakere United

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2012/2013 game between AS Dragon and Waitakere United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waitakere United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AS Dragon
15%
Draws
65%
Waitakere United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waitakere United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waitakere United come out ahead of AS Dragon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Waitakere United a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 10%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Dragon Waitakere United
Matches Played 21 39
Wins 6 19
Draws 3 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.48 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Waitakere United
0:1
Mar 30, 2013 OFC Champions League
Waitakere United vs AS Dragon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Dragon 10 / 100
Waitakere United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Dragon Waitakere United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waitakere United let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

AS Dragon scored in 57% of their last 21 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Solid form: AS Dragon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Dragon VS Waitakere United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Dragon

(Home)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
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Waitakere United

(Away)
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2
Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2
Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4
Waitakere United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Amicale 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 PNG Hekari 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
4 Solomon Warriors 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Auckland City 6 3 1 2 19:8 10
3 AS Dragon 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 7:25 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)