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AS Fortuna Mfou vs Aigle Moungo

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite One
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ukagwu F.
23' Event
Nga J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Elite One game between AS Fortuna Mfou and Aigle Moungo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aigle Moungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AS Fortuna Mfou
30%
Draws
34%
Aigle Moungo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Fortuna Mfou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Fortuna Mfou haven't matched Aigle Moungo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AS Fortuna Mfou's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AS Fortuna Mfou Clean Sheet 11%
Aigle Moungo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Fortuna Mfou Aigle Moungo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Aigle Moungo
0:2
Mar 15, 2026 Elite One
Aigle Moungo vs AS Fortuna Mfou
0:2
May 10, 2025 Elite One
Aigle Moungo vs AS Fortuna Mfou
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Aigle Moungo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Fortuna Mfou Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Aigle Moungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ukagwu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Fortuna Mfou 35 / 100
Aigle Moungo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Fortuna Mfou Aigle Moungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Moungo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

AS Fortuna Mfou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AS Fortuna Mfou scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Fortuna Mfou VS Aigle Moungo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Fortuna Mfou

(Home)
01 Jul
APEJES Academy
2 : 0
AS Fortuna Mfou
27 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 2
Stade Renard
21 Jun
Fauve Azur Elite
2 : 4
AS Fortuna Mfou
14 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
2 : 1
Victoria United
07 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 1
Bamenda
Page 1 of 6

Aigle Moungo

(Away)
28 Jun
Aigle Moungo
2 : 1
Bamenda
21 Jun
Panthere
4 : 0
Aigle Moungo
14 Jun
Aigle Royal
0 : 1
Aigle Moungo
08 Jun
Fauve Azur Elite
2 : 3
Aigle Moungo
04 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
0 : 2
Aigle Moungo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombe26167347:1355
2Dynamo Douala26174554:2555
3Bafang26154744:3749
4Cotonsport26128637:2344
5Canon Yaounde26109731:2039
6Panthere261051132:2635
7Bamenda261041241:4234
8Gazelle26961124:2933
9Victoria United261031333:4233
10Stade Renard26710936:3831
11Aigle Moungo26861225:3830
12Aigle Royal26781130:3329
13AS Fortuna Mfou26561520:4821
14Fauve Azur Elite26521917:5717
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Elite One (Relegation)