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AS Fortuna Mfou vs Gazelle

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite One Stade Omnisports Annexe 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Fortuna Mfou play Gazelle in the Elite One. It looks like a close match. Recently, AS Fortuna Mfou averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Gazelle averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, AS Fortuna Mfou won 1, Gazelle won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for AS Fortuna Mfou and 1.38 for Gazelle. This points to a Gazelle double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AS Fortuna Mfou
30%
Draws
42%
Gazelle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gazelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • AS Fortuna Mfou picked up more points recently compared to Gazelle.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
AS Fortuna Mfou Clean Sheet 17%
Gazelle Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Fortuna Mfou Gazelle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Gazelle
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Elite One
Gazelle vs AS Fortuna Mfou
0:0
Mar 27, 2025 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Gazelle
2:3
Dec 8, 2024 Elite One
Gazelle vs AS Fortuna Mfou
1:2
Feb 22, 2024 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Gazelle
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Fortuna Mfou 29 / 100
Gazelle 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Fortuna Mfou Gazelle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gazelle or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AS Fortuna Mfou attacking → ← attacking Gazelle

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Fortuna Mfou scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Gazelle let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AS Fortuna Mfou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gazelle lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 40
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colombe26167347:1355
2Dynamo Douala26174554:2555
3Bafang26154744:3749
4Cotonsport26128637:2344
5Canon Yaounde26109731:2039
6Panthere261051132:2635
7Bamenda261041241:4234
8Gazelle26961124:2933
9Victoria United261031333:4233
10Stade Renard26710936:3831
11Aigle Moungo26861225:3830
12Aigle Royal26781130:3329
13AS Fortuna Mfou26561520:4821
14Fauve Azur Elite26521917:5717