Sport Picks

Tunisia

Ligue 2 2023/2024

CO Medenine

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AS Gabes play CO Medenine in the Ligue 2 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, AS Gabes averaged 0.55 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. CO Medenine averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, AS Gabes won 2, CO Medenine won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for AS Gabes and 1.19 for CO Medenine. This points to a CO Medenine double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

AS Gabes

27%

Draws

40%

CO Medenine

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: CO Medenine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

AS Gabes picked up more points recently compared to CO Medenine.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

AS Gabes Clean Sheet 20%

CO Medenine Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AS Gabes	CO Medenine
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	5	6
Draws	9	10
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	0.55	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Ligue 2

CO Medenine vs AS Gabes

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Dec 10, 2023 Ligue 2

AS Gabes vs CO Medenine

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

May 21, 2023 Ligue 2

AS Gabes vs CO Medenine

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Jan 3, 2023 Ligue 2

CO Medenine vs AS Gabes

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Mar 8, 2020 Ligue 2

CO Medenine vs AS Gabes

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Gabes Compare

Top Goalscorer Naffati O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yaakoubi R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

CO Medenine Compare

Top Goalscorer Mannai H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Gabes 34 / 100

CO Medenine 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AS Gabes CO Medenine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CO Medenine or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AS Gabes attacking → ← attacking CO Medenine

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Gabes scored in 42% of their last 33 games.

CO Medenine let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

AS Gabes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CO Medenine lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 28

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jeunesse Sportive	24	16	6	2	49:14	54
2	Jendouba Sport	24	15	5	4	32:16	50
3	Korba	24	11	8	5	32:23	41
4	Hamam-Sousse	24	11	5	8	31:26	38
5	Hammam-Lif	24	10	6	8	35:25	36
6	Ariana	24	11	2	11	27:29	35
7	JS Kairouan	24	6	11	7	22:22	29
8	Oued Ellil	24	8	4	12	12:24	28
9	Kalaa	24	4	12	8	17:25	24
10	Rades	24	6	6	12	20:32	24
11	Msaken	24	6	6	12	13:23	24
12	Tabarka	24	6	6	12	20:34	24
13	Sporting Ben Arous	24	4	7	13	14:31	19

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zarzis	24	18	4	2	43:10	58
2	AS Gabes	24	17	3	4	41:14	54
3	Stade Gabesien	24	10	6	8	25:24	36
4	Moknine	24	10	5	9	29:27	35
5	Chebba	24	9	8	7	22:24	35
6	EM Mahdia	24	9	6	9	28:29	33
7	Djelma	24	8	7	9	24:27	31
8	Sidi Bouzid	24	7	9	8	24:26	30
9	Kerkennah	24	6	11	7	23:25	29
10	ES Jerba	24	8	5	11	19:26	29
11	Espoir Rogba	24	5	7	12	18:32	22
12	CO Medenine	24	4	9	11	21:30	21
13	Rejiche	24	3	4	17	17:40	13