Sport Picks
Match Events
59'
59'
Khelifi M.
62'
62'
Mbarek G.
67'
67'
Mbarek G.
AI Match Summary
Megrine in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Megrine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
35%
65%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Megrine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Megrine lately — more wins on the board than AS Gabes.
- Megrine are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 16%
Megrine Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Gabes | Megrine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.52 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Gabes vs Megrine
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Gabes Compare
Top Goalscorer Khelifi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Megrine Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbarek G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Gabes 15 / 100
Megrine 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Gabes Megrine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Megrine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Megrine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
AS Gabes's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
AS Gabes VS Megrine
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Gabes
(Home) 26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
10 Apr
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 4
Megrine
(Away) 26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Megrine
29 Mar
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soliman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Msaken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sfax Railways | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | EM Mahdia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | BS Bouhajla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Megrine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | AS Agareb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Stade Soussien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | AS Gabes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | ES Beni-Khalled | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Sporting Ben Arous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Kerkennah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Chebba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 | US Tataouine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redeyef | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Kalaa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | JS Kairouan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bouchamma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Stade Gabesien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Ariana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Olympique Kef | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 | Gafsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | CO Medenine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Jendouba Sport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Korba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Moknine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
