Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Gabes vs Metlaoui

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Soltani Y.
67' Event
Naffati O.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between AS Gabes and Metlaoui finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AS Gabes
20%
Draws
40%
Metlaoui
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AS Gabes haven't matched Metlaoui's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 14%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Gabes Metlaoui
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.43 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Metlaoui
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Metlaoui vs AS Gabes
5:2
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs AS Gabes
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs AS Gabes
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Metlaoui
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Gabes Compare

Top Goalscorer Naffati O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Metlaoui Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltani Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Gabes 31 / 100
Metlaoui 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Gabes Metlaoui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Metlaoui's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: AS Gabes scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Metlaoui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Gabes VS Metlaoui
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Gabes

(Home)
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0
AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1
Metlaoui
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Metlaoui

(Away)
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1
Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3
Esperance Tunis
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0
JS Kairouan
09 May
Zarzis
1 : 0
Metlaoui
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)