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AS Garde Nationale vs Douanes Niamey

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between AS Garde Nationale and Douanes Niamey finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AS Garde Nationale
39%
Draws
30%
Douanes Niamey
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Garde Nationale come out ahead of Douanes Niamey on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Douanes Niamey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Douanes Niamey
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
Jul 10, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Douanes Niamey
1:2
Jul 3, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Douanes Niamey
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 32 / 100
Douanes Niamey 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Douanes Niamey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Garde Nationale's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

AS Garde Nationale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Douanes Niamey let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Douanes Niamey
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Garde Nationale

(Home)
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
08 Jun
Espoir
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
04 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 0
JS Tahoua
30 May
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 1
Douanes Niamey
20 May
ASFAN
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
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Douanes Niamey

(Away)
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
ASFAN
10 Jun
Police
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
04 Jun
Douanes Niamey
5 : 0
AS ZAM
30 May
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 1
Douanes Niamey
21 May
Douanes Niamey
4 : 0
Nigelec
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