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AS Garde Nationale vs Niima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between AS Garde Nationale and Niima finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AS Garde Nationale
35%
Draws
24%
Niima
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Garde Nationale come out ahead of Niima on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AS Garde Nationale's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%
Niima Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Niima
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 14 1
Draws 12 3
Losses 3 1
Goals Scored 1.17 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Niima
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 76 / 100
Niima 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Niima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: AS Garde Nationale scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Niima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 5 matches.

Solid form: AS Garde Nationale remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Niima
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Garde Nationale

(Home)
04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
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Niima

(Away)
04 Oct
Niima
1 : 0
Liberte
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Niima
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
06 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
ASFAN

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
9 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)