Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between AS Kigali and Etincelles finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Etincelles come out ahead of AS Kigali on wins alone.
- AS Kigali are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AS Kigali Clean Sheet 68%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Kigali | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Etincelles
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs AS Kigali
0:1
May 19, 2025 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Etincelles
2:2
Jan 7, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs AS Kigali
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Etincelles
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Kigali 51 / 100
Etincelles 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Kigali Etincelles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AS Kigali scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Etincelles let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Solid form: AS Kigali remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AS Kigali VS Etincelles
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Kigali
(Home) 30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1 Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1 AS Kigali
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1 Gicumbi
10 May
APR
2 : 1 AS Kigali
06 May
Gorilla
2 : 1 AS Kigali
Page 1 of 6
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1 Musanze
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1 Gicumbi
03 May
AS Kigali
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
24 Apr
AS Kigali
0 : 0 Gasogi United
03 Apr
AS Kigali
1 : 1 Mukura Victory Sports
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Etincelles
(Away) 30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6 Gorilla
16 May
Marines
2 : 3 Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1 Etincelles
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26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
16 May
Marines
2 : 3 Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1 Etincelles
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2 Etincelles
07 May
Al-Merreikh
4 : 1 Etincelles
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
