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AS Maniema vs OC Renaissance Prediction & H2H Stats

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 28, 2026
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Maniema host OC Renaissance in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: AS Maniema at 1.44 goals for, 0.74 against; OC Renaissance at 0.54 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, AS Maniema have won 5 to OC Renaissance's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 3.00 vs 0.88, favoring AS Maniema. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AS Maniema
35%
Draws
15%
OC Renaissance
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Maniema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Maniema lately — more wins on the board than OC Renaissance.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on AS Maniema taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AS Maniema have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 20%
OC Renaissance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Maniema OC Renaissance
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.44 0.54
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs OC Renaissance
3:0
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs AS Maniema
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs AS Maniema
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs OC Renaissance
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs AS Maniema
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Maniema 85 / 100
OC Renaissance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Maniema OC Renaissance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Maniema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

AS Maniema's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

OC Renaissance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: AS Maniema stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Maniema VS OC Renaissance
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Maniema

(Home)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2
AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 7

OC Renaissance

(Away)
15 Apr
OC Renaissance
2 : 3
AS Vita Club
11 Apr
Celeste
5 : 0
OC Renaissance
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
02 Apr
OC Renaissance
1 : 1
FC Renaissance
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)