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AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Abdelaziz Chtioui Stadium, La Marsa
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Marsa host Hammam-Lif in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. AS Marsa go into this one as the clear favorite. Hammam-Lif have shipped 0.57 goals a game lately, while AS Marsa have conceded 1.13 and scored 0.87. Past meetings favor AS Marsa slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward AS Marsa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AS Marsa
20%
Draws
30%
Hammam-Lif
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Marsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammam-Lif lately — more wins on the board than AS Marsa.
  • Win probability leans AS Marsa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 20%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Marsa Hammam-Lif
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs AS Marsa
0:0
May 21, 2017 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs AS Marsa
0:1
Apr 1, 2017 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif
2:2
Dec 24, 2016 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Marsa 40 / 100
Hammam-Lif 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Marsa Hammam-Lif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Marsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammam-Lif's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

AS Marsa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hammam-Lif's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Marsa VS Hammam-Lif
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Marsa

(Home)
11 Oct
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 0
AS Marsa
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

Hammam-Lif

(Away)
11 Oct
Etoile Sahel
0 : 1
Hammam-Lif
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9 Stade Tunisien 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Zarzis 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
11 AS Marsa 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Etoile Sahel 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 Hammam-Lif 5 1 0 4 1:4 3
14 Metlaoui 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
15 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Hamam-Sousse 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)