Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Traidi A.
45'
45'
Tritar M.
AI Match Summary
AS Marsa in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Marsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to AS Marsa lately — more wins on the board than Oued Ellil.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 19%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Marsa | Oued Ellil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Marsa vs Oued Ellil
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs AS Marsa
0:2
May 21, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs AS Marsa
2:1
Jan 3, 2023 Ligue 2
AS Marsa vs Oued Ellil
2:1
Jun 14, 2020 Ligue 2
AS Marsa vs Oued Ellil
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Marsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Traidi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tritar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Oued Ellil Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Marsa 36 / 100
Oued Ellil 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Marsa Oued Ellil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Oued Ellil conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: AS Marsa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
AS Marsa's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
AS Marsa VS Oued Ellil
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Marsa
(Home) 06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1 AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0 AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
12 May
Jeunesse Sportive
2 : 2 AS Marsa
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
09 May
AS Marsa
0 : 3 CS Sfaxien
30 Apr
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Zarzis
03 Apr
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Olympique Beja
28 Feb
AS Marsa
0 : 4 Stade Tunisien
Page 1 of 3
Oued Ellil
(Away) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Korba
2 : 0 Oued Ellil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
