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A.S. Pagny vs Moulins-Yzeure

France France

Coupe de France 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A.S. Pagny play Moulins-Yzeure in the Coupe de France 2014/2015. A.S. Pagny are favorites here. Recently, A.S. Pagny averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Moulins-Yzeure averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, A.S. Pagny won 0, Moulins-Yzeure won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 4, 2015 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for A.S. Pagny and 1.00 for Moulins-Yzeure. This points to a A.S. Pagny double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
A.S. Pagny
25%
Draws
15%
Moulins-Yzeure
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: A.S. Pagny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • A.S. Pagny picked up more points recently compared to Moulins-Yzeure.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
A.S. Pagny Clean Sheet 23%
Moulins-Yzeure Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.S. Pagny Moulins-Yzeure
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 0 9
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.29 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2015 Coupe de France
A.S. Pagny vs Moulins-Yzeure
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.S. Pagny Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Moulins-Yzeure Compare

Top Goalscorer Chastan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sohier B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.S. Pagny 59 / 100
Moulins-Yzeure 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.S. Pagny Moulins-Yzeure

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.S. Pagny Win (1)
Secondary Pick A.S. Pagny & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

A.S. Pagny attacking → ← attacking Moulins-Yzeure

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.S. Pagny scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Moulins-Yzeure let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

A.S. Pagny went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Moulins-Yzeure lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50