Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A.S. Pagny vs Sedan

France France

Coupe de France 2014/2015
A.S. Pagny Logo

A.S. Pagny

Sun, Dec 7, 2014
2 - 1
12:45 PM
Sedan Logo

Sedan

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Armand R.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Denay S.
115' Event
Clause C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A.S. Pagny in this Coupe de France 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
A.S. Pagny
15%
Draws
34%
Sedan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A.S. Pagny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sedan lately — more wins on the board than A.S. Pagny.
  • A.S. Pagny are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Sedan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor A.S. Pagny, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
A.S. Pagny Clean Sheet 20%
Sedan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.S. Pagny Sedan
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2014 Coupe de France
A.S. Pagny vs Sedan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.S. Pagny Compare

Top Goalscorer Denay S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clause C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sedan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.S. Pagny 76 / 100
Sedan 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.S. Pagny Sedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.S. Pagny Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sedan has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

A.S. Pagny's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: A.S. Pagny remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sedan
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A.S. Pagny

(Home)
02 Jan
A.S. Pagny
0 : 2
Sochaux
06 Dec
A.S. Pagny
1 : 0
Alfortville
15 Nov
Ebersheim
1 : 2
A.S. Pagny
04 Jan
A.S. Pagny
1 : 3
Moulins-Yzeure
07 Dec
A.S. Pagny
2 : 1
Sedan
Page 1 of 2

Sedan

(Away)
03 Feb
FC Rodange 91
2 : 0
Sedan
26 May
Sedan
0 : 3
Villefranche
19 May
Stade Briochin
2 : 1
Sedan
12 May
Sedan
3 : 2
Chateauroux
28 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Sedan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Auxerre 3
Dinsheim 0
Le Moule 1
Sarreguemines 2
Sochaux 5
Limonest 2
St Etienne Seltz 0
Strasbourg 4
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Mulhouse 1
Colmar 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 4
Clemenceau 2
Vaulx 0
Jura Sud 2
Bressuire 2
Vertou 1
FC Petit-Bard Montpellier 0
Istres 1
Meaux 3
Marck 0
Bethune 1
Amiens SC 2
Plabennec 4
Ginglin Cesson 1
Bellevue Nantes 1
F.C. Guichen 2
Plouvorn 2
Bonchamp 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont 3
Albi-Marssac 0
Pontarlier 0
Epinal 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Matoury 2
CMS Oissel 1
Zouasia 1
Avranches 6
Cholet 2
Aiglon Lamentin 0
La Rochelle 2
Aurillac 4
Amiens AC 3
St Ouen 0
Dizier 1
Beauvais 2
Laval 7
Saint-Berthevin 0
Eglantine Vierzon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 2
Paris FC 1
Fontenay 0
Graces 0
Brest 5
Concarneau 2
Excelsior 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
Vitre 3
Genets 1
Balma 0
Chauvigny 1
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 2
Gravona 1
Vichy 0
Dijon 9
Andrezieux 1
CO Avallon 0
Agde 0
Avenir Lozere 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
FC Chalon 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 3
Saint Lo Manche 1
Herouville 0
Loon Plage 2
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Lillebonne 2
Cambrai 1
IC Croix 3
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Chauray 2
Girancourt Dommartin 1
Illkirch 2
Sedan 3
Champigny FC 2
Morhange 0
A.S. Pagny 3
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille Sud 1
Aubervilliers 0
Maubeuge 1
Valenciennes 3
Chateauroux 6
Meymac 0
Semeac 0
Tarbes 1
Trelissac 3
Magenta 0
Brive 0
Lucon 5
Dinan 2
Saint-Malo 1
Argentre 0
Angers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Libourne 1
Lormont 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arras 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Clermontois 1
Dunkerque 6
St. Maur Lusitanos 4
Creteil 3
Vierzon Foot 1
Moulins 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 2
Tefana 1
Saint-Mihiel 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Nimes 2
Auch 0
Echirolles FC 1
Marseille Endoume 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 4
Calais 1
Trouville Deauville 1
Le Havre 3
Fleury 91 1
Riviere de Corps 0
Saverne 1
Sarre Union 4
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Rodeo 0
Saint-Marcellin 0
Grenoble 1
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 2
Gonfreville 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Laon US 4
Saint-Louisienne 3
Pontivy 2
Siroco les Abymes 0
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
US Noeux Les Mines 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Forbach 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Ain Sud Foot 3
Aix 0
Arles-Avignon 4
AC Ajaccio 1
Ales 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 3
Macouria 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 2
Saran 0
TBD -
Stade Bordelais -
Fougeres 2
Carquefou 1
Blois Foot 41 0
Le Mans 1
Nancy 3
Montceau 0
Chambly 1
Troyes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/64-finals
Auxerre 4
Sarreguemines 0
Sochaux 0
Strasbourg 1
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 1
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Istres 1
Meaux 1
Amiens SC 3
Plabennec 1
F.C. Guichen 0
Plouvorn 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Metz -
TBD -
Clermont 1
Epinal 2
Lorient -
TBD -
US Matoury 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 3
Aurillac 0
Amiens AC 0
Beauvais 1
Laval 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Paris FC 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 3
Vitre 2
Genets 0
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 1
Dijon 6
Andrezieux 2
Avenir Lozere 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 1
Loon Plage 0
Ailly sur Somme FC 0
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 4
Illkirch 1
Sedan 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Nice -
TBD -
Lille Sud 0
Valenciennes 1
Chateauroux 1
Tarbes 0
Trelissac 0
Lucon 1
Dinan 2
Angers 1
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Lormont 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
Arras 2
Dunkerque 4
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
Moulins 1
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Nimes 2
Marseille Endoume 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 2
Le Havre 0
Fleury 91 0
Sarre Union 1
Marseille -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Grenoble 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 7
Laon US 0
Saint-Louisienne 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 3
Forbach 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Arles-Avignon 3
AC Ajaccio 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Tours 3
Stade Bordelais 2
Fougeres 1
Le Mans 2
Nancy 3
Troyes 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Strasbourg 0
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Amiens SC 1
Plabennec 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz 2
Epinal 1
Lorient 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 1
Beauvais 0
Laval 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
Niort 0
Caen 2
Dijon 3
Andrezieux 2
Saint Priest 0
Saint-Omer 0
IC Croix 5
Moulins-Yzeure 3
A.S. Pagny 1
Nice 0
Valenciennes 2
Chateauroux 1
Lucon 0
Dinan 0
Guingamp 3
PSG 3
Montpellier 0
Toulouse 1
Bordeaux 2
Lyon 3
Lens 2
Franciscain 0
Nantes 4
Rennes 2
Dunkerque 1
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
Reims 3
Thonon-Evian 3
FC Bobigny 93 0
Nimes 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 5
Sarre Union 4
Marseille 3
Grenoble 4
Bastia 2
Lille 0
Orleans 3
Quevilly 4
Red Star 2
Arles-Avignon 1
AC Ajaccio 0
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 3
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
St Etienne 1
1/16-finals
Auxerre 1
Jura Sud 0
Bressuire 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 3
Avranches 0
Cholet 1
Brest 3
Concarneau 1
Dijon 0
Andrezieux 1
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Valenciennes 0
Chateauroux 0
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Bordeaux 1
Lyon 2
Nantes 3
Rennes 2
Reims 1
Thonon-Evian 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 1
Grenoble 0
Bastia 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
Athletico Marseille 0
Tours 3
St Etienne 5
1/8-finals
Auxerre 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
IC Croix 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Guingamp 3
PSG 2
Nantes 0
Rennes 1
Monaco 3
Boulogne 2
Quevilly 0
Red Star 1
St Etienne 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 1
Brest 0
Concarneau 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Monaco 0
Boulogne 1
St Etienne 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 1
Guingamp 0
PSG 4
St Etienne 1
Final
Auxerre 0
PSG 1