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AS Roma U19 vs Real Madrid U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Roma U19 host Real Madrid U19 in the UEFA Youth League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: AS Roma U19 at 2.17 goals for, 1.28 against; Real Madrid U19 at 2.07 for, 0.83 against. Head-to-head, AS Roma U19 have won 0 to Real Madrid U19's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2018, ending 1:6. xG projections (1.44 - 1.50) back Real Madrid U19 to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
AS Roma U19
15%
Draws
53%
Real Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Madrid U19 have won more games recently than AS Roma U19.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AS Roma U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma U19 Real Madrid U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 21
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.17 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2018 UEFA Youth League
AS Roma U19 vs Real Madrid U19
1:6
Sep 19, 2018 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs AS Roma U19
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma U19 23 / 100
Real Madrid U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma U19 Real Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

AS Roma U19 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: AS Roma U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Real Madrid U19 let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma U19 VS Real Madrid U19
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma U19

(Home)
10 Sept
Fenerbahce U19
2 : 4
AS Roma U19
27 Jul
Sorrento
1 : 0
AS Roma U19
31 May
Sassuolo U19
3 : 0
AS Roma U19
28 May
AS Roma U19
3 : 2
Lazio U19
18 May
AS Roma U19
4 : 1
Bologna U19
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 1
S. Wanderers U20
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PSG U19 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
3 VfB Stuttgart U19 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
4 Manchester United U19 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
5 Real Madrid U19 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Club Brugge U19 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
7 AS Roma U19 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
8 FC Porto U19 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
9 Villarreal U19 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Arsenal U19 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Feyenoord U19 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Slavia Prague U19 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 PSV U19 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
14 Atl. Madrid U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
15 Galatasaray U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
16 Sporting CP U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
17 Liverpool U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
18 RB Leipzig U19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 Como U19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Betis U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Lille U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
22 AEK U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
23 LASK Linz U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
24 Dortmund U19 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Lens U19 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Napoli U19 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Barcelona U19 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
28 Shakhtar U19 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Aston Villa U19 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
30 Fenerbahce U19 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
31 Manchester City U19 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Inter U19 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
33 Bodo/Glimt U19 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
34 Slovan Bratislava U19 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
35 Viking U19 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
36 Sabah Baku U19 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League (Play Offs)