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AS Roma vs Sassuolo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Roma host Sassuolo in the Serie A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sassuolo have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while AS Roma have conceded 1.43 and scored 2.32. Head-to-head, AS Roma have won 4 to Sassuolo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward AS Roma. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
AS Roma
20%
Draws
7%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sassuolo haven't matched AS Roma's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AS Roma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Roma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 18%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma Sassuolo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.32 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Serie A
AS Roma vs Sassuolo
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie A
Sassuolo vs AS Roma
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Serie A
AS Roma vs Sassuolo
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs AS Roma
1:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie A
AS Roma vs Sassuolo
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma 85 / 100
Sassuolo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Sassuolo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

AS Roma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma VS Sassuolo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma

(Home)
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 0
Slovan Bratislava
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6

Sassuolo

(Away)
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6
Lazio
24 Oct
Como
2 : 0
Sassuolo
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 9 8 1 0 25:10 25
2 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
3 AS Roma 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 AC Milan 9 5 3 1 18:11 18
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22:14 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
9 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
10 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
11 Bologna 9 3 2 4 12:12 11
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16:17 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
16 Monza 9 2 1 6 16:22 7
17 Udinese 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
18 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11:21 5
19 Parma 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6:19 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)