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AS Roma W vs AC Milan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Roma W host AC Milan W in the Serie A Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. AS Roma W have averaged 1.88 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against AC Milan W's 1.41 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor AS Roma W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.71 - 0.90) back AS Roma W to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AS Roma W
20%
Draws
40%
AC Milan W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AS Roma W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AS Roma W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 20%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma W AC Milan W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 23 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs AC Milan W
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs AS Roma W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AS Roma W vs AC Milan W
1:0
May 4, 2025 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs AC Milan W
3:3
Mar 22, 2025 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs AS Roma W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma W 36 / 100
AC Milan W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma W AC Milan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma W found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

AC Milan W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

AS Roma W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma W VS AC Milan W
2 Goals Scored 1.29
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma W

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Roma W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Sept
AS Roma W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
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AC Milan W

(Away)
04 Oct
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Juventus W
26 Sept
Como 1907 W
4 : 1
AC Milan W
06 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
29 Aug
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Inter W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Como 1907 W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Como W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
5 AC Milan W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
8 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Napoli W 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
12 Sassuolo W 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Relegation - Serie B Women 2027/2028 (Main)