Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Roma W vs AC Milan W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Bergamaschi V.
63'
van Dooren K.
65'
Sub
Renzotti M. In: Kyvag T.
Out: Renzotti M.

AI Match Summary

AS Roma W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
AS Roma W
6%
Draws
4%
AC Milan W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AS Roma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AC Milan W haven't matched AS Roma W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AS Roma W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 20%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma W AC Milan W
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 25 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs AC Milan W
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs AS Roma W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AS Roma W vs AC Milan W
1:0
May 4, 2025 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs AC Milan W
3:3
Mar 22, 2025 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs AS Roma W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergamaschi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AC Milan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma W 85 / 100
AC Milan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma W AC Milan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma W scored in 92% of their last 36 games.

Solid form: AS Roma W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AC Milan W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma W VS AC Milan W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma W

(Home)
24 May
Juventus W
0 : 1
AS Roma W
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
10 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 3
AS Roma W
02 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Ternana W
25 Apr
Juventus W
0 : 1
AS Roma W
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AC Milan W

(Away)
17 May
Ternana W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
02 May
Inter W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
25 Apr
AC Milan W
0 : 0
Napoli W
03 Apr
Sassuolo W
0 : 3
AC Milan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Roma W22174144:1955
2Inter W22135449:2644
3Juventus W22116533:1939
4Fiorentina W22106633:3036
5Lazio W22103931:3033
6AC Milan W2295831:2632
7Napoli W2288630:2532
8Como W2286824:2230
9Sassuolo W22461217:3418
10Ternana W22451319:4017
11Parma W222101016:3116
12Genoa W22241618:4310
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women 2026/2027 (Main)