Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Roma W vs Fiorentina W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Greggi G.
Assist: Pilgrim A.
39'
Sub
Johansen O. In: Woldvik E.
Out: Johansen O.
48'
Filangeri M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AS Roma W
15%
Draws
39%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Roma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Roma W come out ahead of Fiorentina W on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Roma W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • AS Roma W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AS Roma W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 19%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 22 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
AS Roma W vs Fiorentina W
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Fiorentina W
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs AS Roma W
5:2
May 10, 2025 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs AS Roma W
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Fiorentina W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Greggi G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Dooren K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Fiorentina W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma W 36 / 100
Fiorentina W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma W scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Fiorentina W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

AS Roma W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma W VS Fiorentina W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma W

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Roma W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Sept
AS Roma W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
Page 1 of 7

Fiorentina W

(Away)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Lazio W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Parma W 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 AS Roma W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fiorentina W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ternana W 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Como W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 AC Milan W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Como 1907 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)