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AS Roma W vs Lazio W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Zannini C.
41' Event
Doms M.
Assist: Greggi G.
45'
Castiello A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women game between AS Roma W and Lazio W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AS Roma W
20%
Draws
40%
Lazio W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AS Roma W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AS Roma W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Roma W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 20%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma W Lazio W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.85 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs AS Roma W
1:2
Jan 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
3:0
Jan 21, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
Lazio W vs AS Roma W
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doms M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monnecchi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma W 58 / 100
Lazio W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma W Lazio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Roma W scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Lazio W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: AS Roma W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma W VS Lazio W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.29
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma W

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Roma W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Sept
AS Roma W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
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Lazio W

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Roma W
3 : 1
Lazio W
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Inter W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Como 1907 W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Como W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
5 AC Milan W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
8 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Napoli W 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
12 Sassuolo W 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Relegation - Serie B Women 2027/2028 (Main)