Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Roma W vs St. Polten W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Gutmann S.
19' Event
Pilgrim A.
Assist: Babajide R.
33' Event
Viens E.

AI Match Summary

AS Roma W in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
AS Roma W
15%
Draws
48%
St. Polten W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Polten W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Polten W average 2.76 goals a game right now, well clear of AS Roma W's 1.9.
  • St. Polten W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League Women 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and AS Roma W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 10%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma W St. Polten W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.9 2.76
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
AS Roma W vs St. Polten W
6:1
Dec 16, 2022 UEFA Champions League Women
AS Roma W vs St. Polten W
5:0
Oct 26, 2022 UEFA Champions League Women
St. Polten W vs AS Roma W
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viens E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pilgrim A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aistleitner I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma W 10 / 100
St. Polten W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma W St. Polten W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

AS Roma W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Polten W let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma W VS St. Polten W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma W

(Home)
30 Sept
AS Roma W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
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St. Polten W

(Away)
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
26 Sept
St. Polten W
4 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
12 Sept
First Vienna W
1 : 4
St. Polten W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 5 1 0 20:3 16
2 OL Lyonnes W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
3 Chelsea W 6 4 2 0 20:3 14
4 Bayern Munich W 6 4 1 1 14:13 13
5 Arsenal W 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
6 Manchester United W 6 4 0 2 7:9 12
7 Real Madrid W 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
8 Juventus W 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
9 Wolfsburg W 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
10 Paris FC W 6 2 2 2 6:9 8
11 Atl. Madrid W 6 2 1 3 13:9 7
12 Leuven W 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
13 Valerenga W 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
14 AS Roma W 6 1 1 4 9:19 4
15 Twente W 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
16 SL Benfica W 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
17 PSG W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
18 St. Polten W 6 0 1 5 3:28 1
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)