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AS Sora vs San Marino Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Sun, May 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Serie D - Group F 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: AS Sora at 1.17 goals for, 1.52 against; San Marino Calcio at 1.03 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, AS Sora have won 0 to San Marino Calcio's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.50) point toward AS Sora. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AS Sora
20%
Draws
40%
San Marino Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AS Sora have won more games recently than San Marino Calcio.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on AS Sora taking it.
  • AS Sora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 16%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Sora San Marino Calcio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs San Marino Calcio
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs San Marino Calcio
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs AS Sora
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Sora 48 / 100
San Marino Calcio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Sora San Marino Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Sora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Calcio let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AS Sora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: AS Sora scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Sora VS San Marino Calcio
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Sora

(Home)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
AS Sora
Page 1 of 6

San Marino Calcio

(Away)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3
Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Recanatese 4
San Marino Calcio 1