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AS Sora vs Tivoli Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tribelli P.
30' Event
Veron F. G.
55' Event
Gubellini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between AS Sora and Tivoli Calcio finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Sora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AS Sora
15%
Draws
39%
Tivoli Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Sora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Sora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AS Sora are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 20%
Tivoli Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Sora Tivoli Calcio
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Tivoli Calcio
5:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Tivoli Calcio vs AS Sora
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Sora Compare

Top Goalscorer Tribelli P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veron F. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tivoli Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Sora 49 / 100
Tivoli Calcio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Sora Tivoli Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Sora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

AS Sora scored in 62% of their last 39 games.

Tivoli Calcio let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

AS Sora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Sora VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Sora

(Home)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
AS Sora
Page 1 of 8

Tivoli Calcio

(Away)
12 May
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 3
United Riccione
05 May
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 0
Fossombrone
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 2
Avezzano
14 Apr
AS Sora
5 : 0
Tivoli Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)