Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Vacoas vs Grande Riviere

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Vacoas play Grande Riviere in the Super League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, AS Vacoas averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Grande Riviere averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, AS Vacoas won 1, Grande Riviere won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 29, 2025 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for AS Vacoas and 0.88 for Grande Riviere. This points to a AS Vacoas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AS Vacoas
20%
Draws
29%
Grande Riviere
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Vacoas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • AS Vacoas picked up more points recently compared to Grande Riviere.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
AS Vacoas Clean Sheet 25%
Grande Riviere Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Vacoas Grande Riviere
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.42 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Super League
Grande Riviere vs AS Vacoas
1:5
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Grande Riviere
2:2
May 25, 2024 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Grande Riviere
3:4
Feb 25, 2024 Super League
Grande Riviere vs AS Vacoas
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Grande Riviere
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Vacoas Compare

Top Goalscorer Murday J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calambe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Grande Riviere Compare

Top Goalscorer Jerome V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Vacoas 51 / 100
Grande Riviere 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Vacoas Grande Riviere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AS Vacoas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AS Vacoas attacking → ← attacking Grande Riviere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Vacoas scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Grande Riviere let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

AS Vacoas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Grande Riviere lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 21
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cercle De Joachim18144035:646
2La Cure Waves18122440:1838
3Pamplemousses1893625:1830
4Petite Riviere1875621:1926
5Chebel Citizens1874726:2625
6AS Vacoas1864822:3022
7Port Louis1863921:2521
8PAS Mates1854918:2419
9Entente Boulet18441022:3416
10Grande Riviere18151220:508