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AS ZAM vs AS Garde Nationale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between AS ZAM and AS Garde Nationale finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AS ZAM
30%
Draws
58%
AS Garde Nationale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Garde Nationale come out ahead of AS ZAM on wins alone.
  • AS Garde Nationale are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and AS Garde Nationale have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
AS ZAM Clean Sheet 10%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS ZAM AS Garde Nationale
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.03 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Super Ligue
AS ZAM vs AS Garde Nationale
0:2
May 10, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs AS ZAM
2:1
Nov 28, 2025 Super Ligue
AS ZAM vs AS Garde Nationale
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS ZAM 10 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS ZAM AS Garde Nationale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS ZAM found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

AS Garde Nationale let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: AS ZAM remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS ZAM VS AS Garde Nationale
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS ZAM

(Home)
04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
26 Sept
JS Tahoua
1 : 1
AS ZAM
23 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 0
Tagour
20 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 1
AS UAM
13 Sept
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
AS ZAM
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AS Garde Nationale

(Away)
04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
9 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)