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ASA Aarhus vs Holbaek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
ASA Aarhus Logo

ASA Aarhus

Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Holbaek Logo

Holbaek

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASA Aarhus host Holbaek in the 3rd Division. Holbaek go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: ASA Aarhus at 1.25 goals for, 1.79 against; Holbaek at 2.63 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, ASA Aarhus have won 0 to Holbaek's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.13) point toward Holbaek. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
ASA Aarhus
20%
Draws
73%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Holbaek have won more games recently than ASA Aarhus.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Holbaek taking it.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Aarhus Holbaek
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 8 23
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs ASA Aarhus
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA Aarhus 10 / 100
Holbaek 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Aarhus Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA Aarhus's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Defensive concern: Holbaek conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ASA Aarhus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASA Aarhus VS Holbaek
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA Aarhus

(Home)
31 Oct
ASA Aarhus
2 : 2
BK Frem
24 Oct
Vanlose
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
17 Oct
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Sundby
10 Oct
Helsingor
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
Page 1 of 5

Holbaek

(Away)
31 Oct
Holbaek
0 : 1
Vanlose
24 Oct
Naesby
1 : 2
Holbaek
17 Oct
Holbaek
4 : 0
Holstebro
10 Oct
Vanlose
0 : 0
Holbaek
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 14 9 2 3 32:20 29
2 Bronshoj 14 8 4 2 29:17 28
3 Vanlose 14 7 6 1 20:11 27
4 Helsingor 14 7 3 4 22:17 24
5 Horsholm-Usserod 14 6 4 4 32:24 22
6 Naesby 14 5 3 6 24:22 18
7 Ishoj IF 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
8 ASA Aarhus 14 5 2 7 18:21 17
9 Sundby 14 5 1 8 23:24 16
10 BK Frem 14 3 6 5 23:23 15
11 Holstebro 14 4 1 9 18:37 13
12 Ringsted 14 1 3 10 17:37 6
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)