Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D 2025 Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca

Barcelona FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASA play Barcelona FC in the Serie D 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, ASA averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Barcelona FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, ASA won 1, Barcelona FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 15, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for ASA and 1.06 for Barcelona FC. This points to a ASA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

ASA

35%

Draws

22%

Barcelona FC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

ASA picked up more points recently compared to Barcelona FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

ASA Clean Sheet 22%

Barcelona FC Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	ASA	Barcelona FC
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	18	5
Draws	14	12
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	1.46	0.8
Goals Conceded	0.72	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Serie D

Barcelona FC vs ASA

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

May 24, 2025 Serie D

ASA vs Barcelona FC

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Toscano M.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Iarley

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Barcelona FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 43 / 100

Barcelona FC 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ASA Barcelona FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASA or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASA attacking → ← attacking Barcelona FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Barcelona FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

ASA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Barcelona FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 27

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tuna Luso	14	8	3	3	24:10	27
2	Manauara	14	7	5	2	27:11	26
3	Manaus FC	14	6	5	3	21:17	23
4	Independencia Futebol Clube	14	6	3	5	18:19	21
5	Aguia De Maraba	14	5	5	4	22:14	20
6	Trem	14	5	3	6	23:24	18
7	Gremio Atletico Sampaio	14	4	3	7	17:24	15
8	SC Humaita	14	1	1	12	12:45	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AE Altos	14	7	5	2	22:14	26
2	Imperatriz	14	7	3	4	17:15	24
3	Sampaio Correa	14	5	6	3	17:11	21
4	Maranhao	14	4	7	3	18:12	19
5	Iguatu	14	5	3	6	15:15	18
6	Tocantinopolis	14	3	6	5	11:17	15
7	Parnahyba	14	3	5	6	16:22	14
8	Maracana	14	3	3	8	12:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America RN	14	8	3	3	21:9	27
2	Santa Cruz	14	8	3	3	20:10	27
3	Central SC	14	7	5	2	15:7	26
4	Ferroviario	14	5	3	6	15:19	18
5	Horizonte	14	5	2	7	14:17	17
6	Santa Cruz de Natal	14	5	2	7	13:20	17
7	Treze PB	14	4	1	9	7:20	13
8	Sousa	14	3	3	8	11:14	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ASA	14	9	4	1	27:8	31
2	Lagarto	14	7	2	5	20:16	23
3	Sergipe	14	6	4	4	16:10	22
4	Juazeirense	14	6	4	4	12:15	22
5	Uniao Carmolandense	14	5	4	5	14:16	19
6	Jequie	14	4	4	6	15:16	16
7	Barcelona FC	14	2	5	7	9:20	11
8	SC Penedense	14	1	5	8	5:17	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aparecidense	14	10	2	2	32:12	32
2	Ceilandia	14	8	4	2	23:14	28
3	Luverdense	14	7	4	3	14:12	25
4	Mixto	14	6	6	2	22:13	24
5	Capital	14	4	5	5	14:12	17
6	Goiania	14	2	4	8	12:22	10
7	Goianesia	14	1	5	8	11:22	8
8	Porto Velho	14	1	4	9	9:30	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa	14	9	3	2	22:13	30
2	Rio Branco ES	14	8	2	4	19:9	26
3	Agua Santa	14	6	3	5	20:18	21
4	Marica	14	5	4	5	14:14	19
5	Pouso Alegre	14	5	2	7	13:18	17
6	Porto Vitoria	14	4	5	5	14:13	17
7	Nova Iguacu	14	3	6	5	13:16	15
8	Boavista	14	2	3	9	9:23	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional de Limeira	14	9	3	2	21:7	30
2	Cianorte	14	6	4	4	22:17	22
3	Goiatuba EC	14	6	4	4	21:16	22
4	FC Cascavel	14	5	6	3	15:15	21
5	Uberlandia	14	4	4	6	21:20	16
6	Monte Azul	14	3	5	6	13:18	14
7	Operario MS	14	3	5	6	13:22	14
8	Itabirito	14	1	7	6	11:22	10

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barra FC (Santa Catarina)	14	8	2	4	20:10	26
2	EC Sao Jose (PA)	14	7	5	2	21:11	26
3	Joinville	14	6	3	5	11:11	21
4	Marcilio Dias	14	5	6	3	17:15	21
5	Guarany de Bage	14	5	4	5	11:14	19
6	Brasil de Pelotas	14	5	1	8	11:12	16
7	Sao Luiz	14	4	1	9	10:20	13
8	Azuriz	14	3	4	7	6:14	13