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Asane vs Sogndal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Asane Arena, Bergen
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asane host Sogndal in the OBOS-ligaen. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sogndal have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Asane have conceded 2.04 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Asane have won 1 to Sogndal's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 2.06) back Sogndal to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Asane
30%
Draws
31%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sogndal come out ahead of Asane on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Asane Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asane Sogndal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Asane
2:0
Mar 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Asane
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Asane vs Sogndal
1:1
May 16, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Asane
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Asane vs Sogndal
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asane 30 / 100
Sogndal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asane Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Asane's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Asane has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asane VS Sogndal
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asane

(Home)
03 Oct
Stromsgodset
1 : 0
Asane
19 Sept
Asane
0 : 4
Bryne
16 Sept
Sandviken
2 : 3
Asane
13 Sept
Ranheim
2 : 2
Asane
05 Sept
Asane
2 : 2
Hodd
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Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)