Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Coulibaly P. M.
Assist: Al Slougi A.
45'
45'
Sherif A.
63'
63'
Kraouaa A.
Assist: Alashhab J.
AI Match Summary
Al Ahly Tripoli in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahly Tripoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Asaria haven't matched Al Ahly Tripoli's recent run of results.
- Model gives Al Ahly Tripoli a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Ahly Tripoli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Asaria Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asaria | Al Ahly Tripoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 44 |
| Wins | 4 | 35 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2025 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:2
Dec 19, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asaria
5:0
May 9, 2024 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:2
Dec 23, 2023 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asaria
3:0
Feb 12, 2023 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Coulibaly P. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Al Ahly Tripoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Sherif A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kraouaa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asaria 27 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asaria Al Ahly Tripoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Asaria found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Asaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Al Ahly Tripoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 44 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Al Ahly Tripoli
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Asaria
(Home) 11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0 Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2 Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al-Khmes
2 : 0 Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2 Al Watan
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2 Abi Al Ashar
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2 Al Watan
12 Feb
Asaria
1 : 2 Al Ahly Tripoli
16 Jan
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Malaab El Libby
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
(Away) 24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0 Al Ittihad Misurata
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 9
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
03 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 37 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 32:15 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:20 | 32 |
| 4 | Al Akhdar | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 26 |
| 5 | Al Taawun | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Al-Anwar | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 17:29 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Sadaqa | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Tahaddi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Murooj SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:25 | 17 |
| 10 | Al-Suqoor | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16:28 | 16 |
Relegation - Premier League 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 29:7 | 48 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 23:14 | 32 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 21:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 21:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23:20 | 26 |
| 6 | Olympic Azzaweya | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | 23 |
| 7 | Abu Salim | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 17:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Al-Khmes | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 13:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Al Malaab El Libby | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Al Bashaer | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 15:26 | 19 |
| 11 | Asaria | 20 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 18:28 | 18 |
Relegation - Premier League 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Championship Group)