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ASAS vs Garde Republicaine

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
ASAS Logo

ASAS

3 - 0
FT
Garde Republicaine Logo

Garde Republicaine

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between ASAS and Garde Republicaine finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
ASAS
35%
Draws
26%
Garde Republicaine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • ASAS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ASAS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ASAS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
ASAS Clean Sheet 20%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASAS Garde Republicaine
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 17 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.15 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Division 1
ASAS vs Garde Republicaine
3:0
Dec 26, 2024 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs ASAS
0:2
Mar 1, 2024 Division 1
ASAS vs Garde Republicaine
3:1
Oct 23, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs ASAS
1:2
Mar 24, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs ASAS
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASAS 85 / 100
Garde Republicaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASAS Garde Republicaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASAS scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Garde Republicaine let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: ASAS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASAS VS Garde Republicaine
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASAS

(Home)
12 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
ZED FC
06 Sept
ZED FC
4 : 0
ASAS
27 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
21 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 0
ASAS
24 May
ASAS
10 : 3
Hopital
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Garde Republicaine

(Away)
30 Jul
Mahia
1 : 0
Garde Republicaine
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)