Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2006

Energetik Pavlodar 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Asbest Zitikara play Energetik Pavlodar 2 in the First Division 2006. Asbest Zitikara are favorites here. Recently, Asbest Zitikara averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Energetik Pavlodar 2 averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Asbest Zitikara won 2, Energetik Pavlodar 2 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 5, 2006 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Asbest Zitikara and 2.38 for Energetik Pavlodar 2. This points to a Asbest Zitikara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Asbest Zitikara

15%

Draws

23%

Energetik Pavlodar 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asbest Zitikara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Asbest Zitikara picked up more points recently compared to Energetik Pavlodar 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Asbest Zitikara Clean Sheet 10%

Energetik Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Asbest Zitikara	Energetik Pavlodar 2
Matches Played	47	24
Wins	12	4
Draws	4	2
Losses	31	18
Goals Scored	0.87	0.71
Goals Conceded	2.3	1.96

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2006 First League

Asbest Zitikara vs Energetik Pavlodar 2

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

6:0

Jun 16, 2006 First League

Energetik Pavlodar 2 vs Asbest Zitikara

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asbest Zitikara 58 / 100

Energetik Pavlodar 2 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Asbest Zitikara Energetik Pavlodar 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asbest Zitikara Win (1)

Secondary Pick Asbest Zitikara & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Asbest Zitikara attacking → ← attacking Energetik Pavlodar 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asbest Zitikara scored in 45% of their last 47 games.

Energetik Pavlodar 2 let in goals in 92% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Asbest Zitikara went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Energetik Pavlodar 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 14

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	25	1	0	119:14	76
2	Kaspij Aktau	26	19	3	4	63:20	60
3	Gornyak Khromtay	26	17	1	8	40:25	52
4	Cesna Almaty	26	16	4	6	64:30	52
5	Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty	26	15	5	6	39:25	50
6	Akzhayik Uralsk	26	16	1	9	56:31	49
7	Zhambyl Taraz	26	9	8	9	35:30	35
8	Aktobe 2	26	10	3	13	43:50	33
9	Munaily Atyrau	26	6	7	13	25:48	25
10	Ordabasy 2	26	7	3	16	34:65	24
11	Koksu	26	6	2	18	32:59	20
12	AI-Universitet	26	5	4	17	29:57	19
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda 2	26	4	3	19	23:71	15
14	Zhastar Uralsk	26	3	3	20	12:89	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avangard Petropavlovsk	24	16	3	5	39:19	51
2	Asbest Zitikara	24	15	5	4	37:17	50
3	Shakhter Karagandy 2	24	12	8	4	25:12	44
4	Spartak Semey	24	12	7	5	46:25	43
5	Kazakhmys	24	12	5	7	36:35	41
6	Shakhter Yunost	24	11	5	8	41:25	38
7	Aksu	24	10	6	8	32:28	36
8	Ertis Pavlodar 2	24	10	4	10	38:28	34
9	Rakhat Astana	24	9	6	9	27:26	33
10	Vostok Oskemen 2	24	9	5	10	33:37	32
11	Tobol 2	24	4	4	16	20:41	16
12	Energetik Pavlodar 2	24	4	2	18	17:47	14
13	Batyr Ekibastuz	24	2	0	22	13:64	6