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ASC 09 Dortmund vs Delbrucker

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASC 09 Dortmund play Delbrucker in the Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023. ASC 09 Dortmund are favorites here. Recently, ASC 09 Dortmund averaged 2.58 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Delbrucker averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, ASC 09 Dortmund won 2, Delbrucker won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for ASC 09 Dortmund and 1.13 for Delbrucker. This points to a ASC 09 Dortmund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
ASC 09 Dortmund
23%
Draws
18%
Delbrucker
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • ASC 09 Dortmund picked up more points recently compared to Delbrucker.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 21%
Delbrucker Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC 09 Dortmund Delbrucker
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.58 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Delbrucker
3:0
Nov 13, 2022 Oberliga Westfalen
Delbrucker vs ASC 09 Dortmund
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASC 09 Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaitkevicius D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rausch F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Delbrucker Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC 09 Dortmund 57 / 100
Delbrucker 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC 09 Dortmund Delbrucker

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASC 09 Dortmund attacking → ← attacking Delbrucker

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC 09 Dortmund scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

Delbrucker let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

ASC 09 Dortmund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Delbrucker lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 25
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gutersloh34233867:3872
2Preussen Munster 2341811582:4665
3Paderborn II341810653:2364
4Lotte341861064:4360
5TUS Bovinghausen341581173:5953
6Westfalia Rhynern3414101052:4852
7ASC 09 Dortmund341471351:5549
8Clarholz341391253:4848
9Finnentrop/Bamenohl341451566:5647
10Eintracht Rheine341371452:6046
11Vreden3411101359:6743
12Schermbeck 2020341091543:5639
13Gievenbeck34991648:5036
14Siegen34981750:5435
15Sprockhovel348111548:6935
16TUS Ennepetal34981732:5935
17Erndtebruck34971847:8534
18Delbrucker34881847:7132