Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASC 09 Dortmund vs Lippstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASC 09 Dortmund in this Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASC 09 Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
ASC 09 Dortmund
15%
Draws
40%
Lippstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • ASC 09 Dortmund have won more games recently than Lippstadt.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on ASC 09 Dortmund taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ASC 09 Dortmund here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 14%
Lippstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC 09 Dortmund Lippstadt
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.48 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Lippstadt
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Lippstadt
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Lippstadt vs ASC 09 Dortmund
1:0
May 25, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Lippstadt vs ASC 09 Dortmund
0:2
Dec 1, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Lippstadt
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC 09 Dortmund 75 / 100
Lippstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC 09 Dortmund Lippstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC 09 Dortmund scored in 100% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ASC 09 Dortmund remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Lippstadt conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASC 09 Dortmund VS Lippstadt
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Home)
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
30 Aug
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 3
Sprockhovel
23 Aug
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
1 : 4
ASC 09 Dortmund
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Lippstadt

(Away)
27 Sept
Vreden
2 : 0
Lippstadt
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
13 Sept
Hiltrup
1 : 2
Lippstadt
04 Sept
Lippstadt
5 : 2
Verl II
30 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld II
0 : 1
Lippstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)