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ASC HLM vs AJEL Prediction & H2H Stats

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

3 - 0
FT
AJEL Logo

AJEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASC HLM and AJEL finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASC HLM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
41%
AJEL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AJEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • ASC HLM haven't matched AJEL's recent run of results.
  • ASC HLM are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%
AJEL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM AJEL
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 18 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.6 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs AJEL
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs ASC HLM
1:1
May 25, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs ASC HLM
0:0
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs AJEL
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 51 / 100
AJEL 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM AJEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

ASC HLM went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ASC HLM's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AJEL has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS AJEL
1 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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AJEL

(Away)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)