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ASC Jaraaf vs Casa

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de Diaraf, Dakar
ASC Jaraaf Logo

ASC Jaraaf

0 - 0
FT
Casa Logo

Casa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASC Jaraaf and Casa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
ASC Jaraaf
35%
Draws
28%
Casa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC Jaraaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASC Jaraaf come out ahead of Casa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC Jaraaf Casa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 14 19
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.7 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Casa
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC Jaraaf
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC Jaraaf
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Casa
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Casa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC Jaraaf 31 / 100
Casa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC Jaraaf Casa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Jaraaf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: ASC Jaraaf stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: ASC Jaraaf scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Casa has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

ASC Jaraaf VS Casa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC Jaraaf

(Home)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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Casa

(Away)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)