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ASC Jaraaf vs Linguere Prediction & H2H Stats

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de Diaraf, Dakar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASC Jaraaf and Linguere finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASC Jaraaf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
ASC Jaraaf
35%
Draws
20%
Linguere
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC Jaraaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASC Jaraaf come out ahead of Linguere on wins alone.
  • ASC Jaraaf are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • ASC Jaraaf have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 68%
Linguere Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC Jaraaf Linguere
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 14 16
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.7 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Linguere
1:0
Dec 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Linguere vs ASC Jaraaf
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Linguere
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Linguere vs ASC Jaraaf
1:3
Jun 8, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Linguere
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC Jaraaf 68 / 100
Linguere 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC Jaraaf Linguere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Jaraaf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC Jaraaf went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Linguere's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: ASC Jaraaf scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASC Jaraaf VS Linguere
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC Jaraaf

(Home)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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Linguere

(Away)
04 Jun
Linguere
1 : 1
Wally Daan
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Linguere
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)