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ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Assigno E.
40' Event
Kouyate B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
ASC Kara
35%
Draws
30%
ASEC Mimosas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASC Kara lately — more wins on the board than ASEC Mimosas.
  • Win probability leans ASC Kara's way, sitting at 40%.
  • ASC Kara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASC Kara, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
ASC Kara Clean Sheet 68%
ASEC Mimosas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC Kara ASEC Mimosas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Champions League
ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara
2:1
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 CAF Confederation Cup
ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 CAF Confederation Cup
ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASC Kara Compare

Top Goalscorer Assigno E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

ASEC Mimosas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC Kara 50 / 100
ASEC Mimosas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC Kara ASEC Mimosas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Kara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC Kara's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

ASC Kara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ASEC Mimosas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASC Kara VS ASEC Mimosas
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC Kara

(Home)
13 Sept
ASEC Mimosas
2 : 1
ASC Kara
06 Sept
ASC Kara
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
31 May
ASC Kara
0 : 0
Entente II
24 May
Gbohloe-Su
1 : 2
ASC Kara
17 May
ASC Kara
2 : 2
Gomido
Page 1 of 6

ASEC Mimosas

(Away)
04 Oct
ASEC Mimosas
0 : 0
Stella Adjame
26 Sept
Yamoussoukro
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
13 Sept
ASEC Mimosas
2 : 1
ASC Kara
06 Sept
ASC Kara
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
12 Aug
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 2
Medeama
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
15 de Agosto -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -