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Aschaffenburg vs ASV Neumarkt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASV Neumarkt in this Oberliga Bayern Nord matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASV Neumarkt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aschaffenburg
30%
Draws
23%
ASV Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aschaffenburg lately — more wins on the board than ASV Neumarkt.
  • Win probability leans Aschaffenburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 20%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aschaffenburg ASV Neumarkt
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs ASV Neumarkt
1:3
Oct 29, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs ASV Neumarkt
4:0
Jul 16, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Aschaffenburg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aschaffenburg 85 / 100
ASV Neumarkt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aschaffenburg ASV Neumarkt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASV Neumarkt conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Aschaffenburg's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Aschaffenburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aschaffenburg VS ASV Neumarkt
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aschaffenburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Aschaffenburg
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
25 Sept
Aschaffenburg
2 : 2
Bayern Hof
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
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ASV Neumarkt

(Away)
09 Oct
Neudrossenfeld
4 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
03 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
3 Gebenbach 14 8 2 4 23:17 26
4 Bamberg 14 7 4 3 24:13 25
5 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
6 Bayern Hof 14 6 5 3 31:23 23
7 Regensburg II 14 6 5 3 28:22 23
8 Aschaffenburg 14 6 3 5 26:20 21
9 Fortuna Regensburg 14 6 3 5 31:22 21
10 Stadeln 14 5 5 4 17:20 20
11 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
12 DJK Ammerthal 14 4 3 7 18:27 15
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 14 3 4 7 21:30 13
15 Grossbardorf 14 4 1 9 16:26 13
16 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
17 Nordlingen 14 2 4 8 14:31 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)