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Stadium Background

Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Aschaffenburg and Bamberg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aschaffenburg
15%
Draws
51%
Bamberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bamberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bamberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 13%
Bamberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aschaffenburg Bamberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bamberg vs Aschaffenburg
1:1
Nov 5, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Bamberg vs Aschaffenburg
2:0
Aug 11, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aschaffenburg 31 / 100
Bamberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aschaffenburg Bamberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aschaffenburg found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Bamberg conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Aschaffenburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aschaffenburg VS Bamberg
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aschaffenburg

(Home)
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
09 Sept
Grossbardorf
3 : 1
Aschaffenburg
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6
Aschaffenburg
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Bamberg

(Away)
18 Sept
Grossbardorf
0 : 3
Bamberg
11 Sept
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 0
Bamberg
05 Sept
Bamberg
4 : 1
Ingolstadt II
29 Aug
Nordlingen
0 : 1
Bamberg
21 Aug
Bamberg
0 : 2
Wurzburger FV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 11 9 1 1 27:8 28
2 Gebenbach 11 8 1 2 21:11 25
3 Bamberg 11 7 2 2 21:8 23
4 Wurzburger FV 10 6 1 3 21:14 19
5 Bayern Hof 10 5 3 2 21:15 18
6 Regensburg II 10 5 2 3 21:17 17
7 TSV Kornburg 11 4 5 2 17:12 17
8 Fortuna Regensburg 10 5 1 4 24:17 16
9 Aschaffenburg 11 5 1 5 22:17 16
10 Stadeln 10 3 4 3 14:16 13
11 Neudrossenfeld 11 4 0 7 12:19 12
12 Weiden 11 3 2 6 18:25 11
13 Grossbardorf 11 3 1 7 12:23 10
14 Ingolstadt II 10 2 3 5 18:23 9
15 Nordlingen 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 DJK Ammerthal 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
17 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 10 2 2 6 10:24 8
18 ASV Neumarkt 10 1 2 7 9:20 5
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)