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Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Aschaffenburg and Bamberg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aschaffenburg
35%
Draws
30%
Bamberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Bamberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 18%
Bamberg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aschaffenburg Bamberg
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bamberg vs Aschaffenburg
1:1
Nov 5, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Bamberg vs Aschaffenburg
2:0
Aug 11, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Bamberg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aschaffenburg 32 / 100
Bamberg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aschaffenburg Bamberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bamberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aschaffenburg found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Bamberg conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Aschaffenburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aschaffenburg VS Bamberg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aschaffenburg

(Home)
31 Oct
Regensburg II
5 : 0
Aschaffenburg
23 Oct
Aschaffenburg
0 : 0
Gebenbach
17 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
10 Oct
Aschaffenburg
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
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Bamberg

(Away)
31 Oct
Bayern Hof
4 : 2
Bamberg
17 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 3
Bamberg
10 Oct
Bamberg
2 : 2
DJK Ammerthal
02 Oct
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
1 : 1
Bamberg
26 Sept
Bamberg
0 : 2
Cham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 17 14 1 2 39:13 43
2 TSV Kornburg 17 9 6 2 33:14 33
3 Wurzburger FV 17 9 5 3 35:22 32
4 Bayern Hof 17 9 5 3 41:28 32
5 Regensburg II 17 8 5 4 42:27 29
6 Bamberg 16 8 4 4 29:18 28
7 Gebenbach 17 8 4 5 27:26 28
8 Stadeln 17 6 6 5 22:26 24
9 Aschaffenburg 17 6 5 6 27:26 23
10 Fortuna Regensburg 17 6 4 7 35:28 22
11 Grossbardorf 17 7 1 9 26:31 22
12 Neudrossenfeld 17 6 2 9 25:30 20
13 Weiden 17 4 6 7 28:36 18
14 Ingolstadt II 17 4 4 9 26:36 16
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 18 3 6 9 19:35 15
16 DJK Ammerthal 17 4 3 10 20:36 15
17 Nordlingen 17 3 5 9 18:37 14
18 ASV Neumarkt 17 1 4 12 12:35 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)