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Aschaffenburg vs Fortuna Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aschaffenburg in this Oberliga Bayern Nord matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aschaffenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aschaffenburg
35%
Draws
45%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortuna Regensburg have won more games recently than Aschaffenburg.
  • Fortuna Regensburg are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aschaffenburg Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aschaffenburg 18 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aschaffenburg Fortuna Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 31 matches.

Aschaffenburg found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Aschaffenburg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aschaffenburg VS Fortuna Regensburg
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aschaffenburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
25 Sept
Aschaffenburg
2 : 2
Bayern Hof
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
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Fortuna Regensburg

(Away)
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
5 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
6 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
11 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)