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Aschaffenburg vs Gebenbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aschaffenburg host Gebenbach in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Aschaffenburg have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Gebenbach's 1.83 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Aschaffenburg slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2018, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.69) back Gebenbach to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aschaffenburg
30%
Draws
23%
Gebenbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gebenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aschaffenburg a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 13%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aschaffenburg Gebenbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Aschaffenburg
0:0
Aug 26, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Gebenbach
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aschaffenburg 84 / 100
Gebenbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aschaffenburg Gebenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aschaffenburg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Gebenbach let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aschaffenburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aschaffenburg VS Gebenbach
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aschaffenburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Aschaffenburg
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
25 Sept
Aschaffenburg
2 : 2
Bayern Hof
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
Page 1 of 6

Gebenbach

(Away)
10 Oct
Gebenbach
1 : 4
Grossbardorf
03 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 0
Gebenbach
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4
Bayern Hof
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
3 Gebenbach 14 8 2 4 23:17 26
4 Bamberg 14 7 4 3 24:13 25
5 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
6 Bayern Hof 14 6 5 3 31:23 23
7 Regensburg II 14 6 5 3 28:22 23
8 Aschaffenburg 14 6 3 5 26:20 21
9 Fortuna Regensburg 14 6 3 5 31:22 21
10 Stadeln 14 5 5 4 17:20 20
11 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
12 DJK Ammerthal 14 4 3 7 18:27 15
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 14 3 4 7 21:30 13
15 Grossbardorf 14 4 1 9 16:26 13
16 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
17 Nordlingen 14 2 4 8 14:31 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)