Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli U19 vs Avellino U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Zanni M.
56' Event
De Michele P.
63' Event
Finotti D.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Ascoli U19 and Avellino U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avellino U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ascoli U19
15%
Draws
59%
Avellino U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avellino U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Avellino U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Avellino U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli U19 Avellino U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.59 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Avellino U19
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Avellino U19
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Ascoli U19
2:1
Feb 11, 2018 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Finotti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Avellino U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Michele P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli U19 34 / 100
Avellino U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli U19 Avellino U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avellino U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli U19's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Avellino U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ascoli U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli U19 VS Avellino U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1
Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
02 May
Perugia U19
3 : 2
Ascoli U19
Page 1 of 6

Avellino U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Cosenza U19
1 : 2
Avellino U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
02 May
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Palermo U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)