Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli U19 vs Napoli U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gorica K.
35'
78' Event
De Chiara E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ascoli U19
30%
Draws
12%
Napoli U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ascoli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli U19 have won more games recently than Ascoli U19.
  • Ascoli U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Napoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli U19 Napoli U19
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Napoli U19
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Napoli U19
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:3
May 4, 2024 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Ascoli U19
0:0
Jan 13, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Napoli U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorica K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Napoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Chiara E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli U19 74 / 100
Napoli U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli U19 Napoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli U19 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Napoli U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ascoli U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli U19 VS Napoli U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1
Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
Page 1 of 7

Napoli U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Napoli U19
2 : 3
Catanzaro U19
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
10 Dec
Benfica U19
3 : 0
Napoli U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)