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Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ascoli U19
20%
Draws
56%
Perugia U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Perugia U19 have won more games recently than Ascoli U19.
  • Perugia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli U19 Perugia U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Ascoli U19
3:2
Jan 10, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli U19 10 / 100
Perugia U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli U19 Perugia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli U19's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ascoli U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Perugia U19 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli U19 VS Perugia U19
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli U19

(Home)
26 Sept
Sudtirol U19
4 : 2
Ascoli U19
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1
Latina U19
Page 1 of 6

Perugia U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)