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Ascoli vs Avellino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Di Maggio L.
17' Event
Russo R.
Assist: Palumbo M.
45'
Rizzo N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ascoli and Avellino finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ascoli
35%
Draws
31%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Avellino on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ascoli's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Avellino
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.31
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie B
Ascoli vs Avellino
3:1
May 5, 2018 Serie B
Ascoli vs Avellino
1:1
Dec 16, 2017 Serie B
Avellino vs Ascoli
1:1
Apr 25, 2017 Serie B
Ascoli vs Avellino
2:0
Dec 3, 2016 Serie B
Avellino vs Ascoli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Silipo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 59 / 100
Avellino 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ascoli scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Avellino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Avellino
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
01 Nov
Arezzo
0 : 0
Ascoli
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Avellino

(Away)
01 Nov
Avellino
2 : 0
Pisa
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)