Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli vs Carrarese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
D'Uffizi S.
33'
Abiuso F.
47'
Ruggeri F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ascoli and Carrarese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ascoli
30%
Draws
35%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ascoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ascoli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Carrarese
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie B
Ascoli vs Carrarese
1:1
Apr 19, 2015 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Carrarese
3:2
Dec 7, 2014 Serie C - Group B
Carrarese vs Ascoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Gori G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Carrarese Compare

Top Goalscorer Abiuso F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 95 / 100
Carrarese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ascoli's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Carrarese conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Carrarese
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
01 Nov
Arezzo
0 : 0
Ascoli
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Carrarese

(Away)
01 Nov
Verona
3 : 0
Carrarese
28 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Arezzo
25 Oct
Palermo
2 : 1
Carrarese
17 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Modena
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)