Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli vs Palermo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
1 - 0
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Brunori M.
Assist: Guiebre A.
26'
Sub
Acampora G. In: Bolsius D.
Out: Acampora G.

AI Match Summary

Ascoli host Palermo in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ascoli have averaged 1.63 scored and 0.78 conceded recently, against Palermo's 2.22 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Ascoli have won 1 to Palermo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 5, 2024, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.69, favoring Palermo. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ascoli
35%
Draws
38%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ascoli haven't matched Palermo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ascoli a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 13%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Palermo
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 15 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.63 2.22
Goals Conceded 0.78 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Ascoli
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Serie B
Ascoli vs Palermo
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Serie B
Ascoli vs Palermo
1:2
Aug 27, 2022 Serie B
Palermo vs Ascoli
2:3
May 4, 2019 Serie B
Ascoli vs Palermo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunori M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 40 / 100
Palermo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ascoli's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Palermo conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Palermo
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
01 Nov
Arezzo
0 : 0
Ascoli
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Palermo

(Away)
01 Nov
Palermo
3 : 1
Vicenza
28 Oct
Pisa
3 : 3
Palermo
25 Oct
Palermo
2 : 1
Carrarese
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)