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Ascoli vs Rimini Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Sun, Mar 22, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ascoli host Rimini in the Serie C - Group B 2025/2026. Ascoli go into this one as the clear favorite. Rimini have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Ascoli have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Ascoli have won 2 to Rimini's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 0.75) back Ascoli to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ascoli
15%
Draws
0%
Rimini
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ascoli have won more games recently than Rimini.
  • Ascoli are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Rimini Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Rimini
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 18 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.75 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Rimini
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Rimini vs Ascoli
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Rimini vs Ascoli
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Rimini
0:1
Oct 2, 2013 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ascoli vs Rimini
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 49 / 100
Rimini 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Rimini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Rimini let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Away concern: Rimini has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Rimini
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Rimini

(Away)
22 Nov
Carpi
2 : 1
Rimini
15 Nov
Rimini
0 : 2
Ascoli
08 Nov
Pianese
1 : 0
Rimini
01 Nov
Rimini
1 : 2
Bra
29 Oct
Ravenna
3 : 0
Rimini
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)