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Ascoli vs Sampdoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
D'Uffizi S.
43'
Di Pardo A.
53'
Delli Carri F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ascoli and Sampdoria finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ascoli
30%
Draws
19%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Sampdoria on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ascoli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Sampdoria
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.69 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Serie B
Ascoli vs Sampdoria
2:0
Mar 11, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Ascoli
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 Serie B
Ascoli vs Sampdoria
1:1
Oct 20, 2022 Coppa Italia
Sampdoria vs Ascoli
3:2
Mar 17, 2012 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Ascoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Silipo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sampdoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 95 / 100
Sampdoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ascoli scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Ascoli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sampdoria conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Sampdoria
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
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Sampdoria

(Away)
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)