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Ascoli vs US Tolentino

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Haveri K.
67' Event
Re A.
73' Event
Re A.

AI Match Summary

Ascoli in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ascoli
15%
Draws
40%
US Tolentino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ascoli lately — more wins on the board than US Tolentino.
  • Ascoli are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli US Tolentino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.9 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs US Tolentino
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Re A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haveri K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

US Tolentino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 67 / 100
US Tolentino 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli US Tolentino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

US Tolentino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
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US Tolentino

(Away)
29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0
US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0
Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0
US Tolentino
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